El Niño, geopolitics and agricultural commodities | The Commodity Exchange | 30 Jul 2026 | WisdomTree in Europe
**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - Agricultural commodities surged +11% YTD in 2026, with an 8% acceleration in July alone due to dual, mutually reinforcing supply-side shocks on input (fertilizer) and output (weather) channels [[00:01:23](https://youtu.be/J5ajNiKkRt8?si=O4-Q2ig9wjFzn57c&t=0h1m23s)]. - The closure/disruption of the Strait of Hormuz directly threatens global fertilizer…











