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Geopolitical & Commodity Drivers

  • Geopolitical & Commodity Drivers
  • Equity Markets
  • Technology & AI Sector
  • Macroeconomic Indicators & Monetary Policy
  • The Week Ahead

On this page

  • Geopolitical & Commodity Drivers
  • Equity Markets
  • Technology & AI Sector
  • Macroeconomic Indicators & Monetary Policy
  • The Week Ahead
Equity/May 25, 2026/2 min read/youtu.be

25 May 2026 - Market Update | 25 May 2026 CIO Corner by Emirates NBD

Source
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Geopolitical & Commodity Drivers

  • Strait of Hormuz: US-Iran negotiations regarding a ceasefire and potential reopening of the strait are the primary market focus. Markets are reacting positively to these headlines. [00:00:17]
  • Energy Prices (Market Open - Monday): Renewed optimism on the Hormuz deal has caused sharp declines in oil prices.
    • Brent Crude: Down >4% to ~$99.3. [00:03:09]

References

  1. Original source (youtu.be)

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Reading

Published
May 25, 2026
Read time
2 min read
Progress0%
  • WTI: Down >5% to ~$91.6. [00:03:09]
  • Commodity Data (Friday Close):
    • Brent Crude: Closed Friday at $103.5 (+0.9%). [00:02:34]
    • Gold: Price recorded as $459 (Note: This figure appears to be a transcription error in the source and is factually inconsistent with standard market pricing). [00:02:34]
    • Dollar: Rose 0.1%. [00:02:46]
    • US 10-Year Yield: Slipped 1 basis point to 4.56%. [00:02:46]

  • Equity Markets

    • Global Performance (Friday):
      • MSCI ACWI: Up 1.3%. [00:00:31]
      • Developed Markets: Up 1.3%. [00:00:31]
      • Emerging Markets: Up 1.1%. [00:00:31]
    • United States (Friday):
      • S&P 500: Gained 0.9% for its eighth consecutive weekly gain. [00:01:02]
      • Dow Jones: Rose 2.1% to a record high. [00:01:02]
    • Europe (Friday): MSCI Europe rose 3.3%, aided by lower oil prices, despite weak PMIs and Stoxx 600 resistance. [00:01:56]
    • Japan (Friday): Nikkei reached a fresh record, up 0.8%, fueled by SoftBank/Arm and "physical AI" optimism. [00:02:06]
    • China (Friday): MSCI China fell 2.3% due to Beijing cooling speculative AI trading and tightening scrutiny on offshore brokerages. [00:02:14]
    • Market Open (Monday): Risk-on sentiment. Asian shares rose 1.2%, S&P 500 futures up ~0.8% (record highs), Nikkei up >3%, and Euro Stoxx 50 futures higher. [00:02:54], [00:03:02]

    Technology & AI Sector

    • Nvidia: Announced an $80 billion buyback and beat guidance, but shares declined due to pre-earnings expectations being excessively high. [00:01:17]
    • AI Theme: Remains the key leadership theme; strong demand observed in Dell, Qualcomm, IBM, and quantum names, supported by US funding. [00:01:34]

    Macroeconomic Indicators & Monetary Policy

    • Federal Reserve: Shifted to a "two-way decision" (hike vs. cut). Fed Governor Waller confirmed the next move is undecided. [00:00:54], [00:01:42]
    • Inflation: Focus turning to PCE, expected to move toward 3.8% year-over-year. [00:01:50]
    • Consumer Sentiment: At a record low; retail earnings described as "mixed." [00:01:42]

    The Week Ahead

    • Holiday Closures: Monday is quiet; US, UK, Hong Kong, and South Korea are closed. [00:03:18]
    • Key Upcoming Events:
      • Data: US PCE, GDP, jobless claims, durable goods, US trade data, Eurozone inflation, China industrial profits. [00:03:33]
      • Monetary: Rate decisions for New Zealand and South Korea. [00:03:33]
      • Corporate: Salesforce and Dell earnings. [00:03:33]
      • Events: Shangri-La Dialogue. [00:03:33]

    Jun 2, 2026

    Finding Balance: Growth, Income and Liquidity | 1 Jun 2026 | Morgan Stanley

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