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Market Pulse | High-signal updates for investors and operators

Market PulseGlobalDaily high-signal market updates for investors and operatorsShowing 24 of 449

Market Pulse | High-signal updates for investors and operators

Daily stream of high-signal market updates and intelligence. Refreshed every day.

Market PulseGlobalShowing 24 of 449

Moderna’s Dr. Stephen Hoge on AI and the Future of Healthcare | 20 Oct 2026 | Inside Blackstone

- > "Moderna will never be a one-drug company. It could be zero or it could be a hundred, but it can never be one." - **Dr. Stephen Hoge** (quoting Stéphane Bancel) [[00:08:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C0hUiE5y0qE&t=08m47s)] - > "The same protein in fact can be encoded by over 10 to the 80th different messenger RNA... that is more variants than there are molecules in the known universe." - **Dr. Stephen…

Oct 21, 2026·Macro / Economics

Inside Economics Podcast #302- Survey Says... | 21 Oct 2026 | Moody's Talks - Inside Economics Podcast with Mark Zandi

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Iran War Energy Shock Driving Headline Inflation:** US September CPI rose 0.6% MoM (lifting YoY from 3.4% to 3.7%), primarily driven by a 9.0% surge in gasoline prices ($4.35/gal average). Absent the Iran war, headline CPI would be ~1.0 percentage point lower [[00:08:16](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q1vmJ7mSMvY&t=8m16s)]. - **Core CPI Acceleration &…

Oct 21, 2026·Macro / Economics

Tom Lee's 6 Reasons to Stay Bullish in 2027 - Stenger Family Office Investor Day | 19 Oct 2026 | Stenger Family Office

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Structural AI Supercycle & Infra Scaling:** AI capex is projected at $800B/year currently, scaling to $1T/year and cumulative $30T long-term. This footprint mirrors historical buildouts of wireless networks ($25T–$30T) and commercial real estate ($60T), rather than an unsustainable asset bubble…

Oct 20, 2026·Macro / Economics

The 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions | 20 Oct 2026 | Insights Now | J.P. Morgan Asset Management

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Global Growth & Productivity Upgrade:** Global long-term GDP growth assumptions upgraded by 10 bps, driven by accelerated AI adoption and total factor productivity (TFP) gains [[00:03:19](https://youtu.be/xoStMyFMkCY&t=3m19s)]. - **Massive $14 Trillion AI Capex Cycle:** Hyperscaler capex ($800B current annualized run-rate) projected to culminate in a…

Oct 20, 2026·Macro / Economics

The Bridge Ep. 23: Can AI Deliver Returns, Not Just Hype? | 30 Sept 2026 | iCapital

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Macro Environment & "Higher for Longer":** Rising benchmark interest rates increase discount rates, raising the hurdle rate for cash flows far in the future and disproportionately pressuring long-duration growth assets, including AI VC and public equities [[00:01:16](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kjBNX21TveU&t=0m1m16s)]. - **AI Engine Driving US GDP:** Artificial intelligence…

Oct 8, 2026·Macro / Economics

Japan’s Banks Enter a New Era of Opportunity | Morgan Stanley

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Transition Beyond Rate Hikes:** Japan is shifting from a 30-year period of excess corporate savings and underinvestment into a multi-stage capital expenditure (CapEx) financing cycle [[00:00:25](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uuvSRKuF7dw&t=00m25s)]. - **Domestic Loan Expansion:** Japan's domestic loan market is projected to expand from ¥588 trillion…

Oct 8, 2026·Macro / Economics

Inside Economics Podcast #300- Revisions, Revisions, Revisions | 7 Oct 2026 | Moody's Talks - Inside Economics Podcast with Mark Zandi

> "The headline number obviously a little bit weak 29,000 jobs added in September, but the 3-month average is now right about 50,000, which we've been talking about as sort of roughly what we think underlying job growth is." - **Dante De Antonio** [[00:03:23](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNZSWB1izdg&t=3m23s)] > "If you exclude healthcare, payroll job growth over the past year has been basically zero... and it's…

Oct 7, 2026·Macro / Economics

Why Treasuries Are ‘Risky’ Again | 5 Oct 2026 | Odd Lots

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Surge in Long-End Yields:** The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hit ~5.59%, reaching its highest level since 2002, driven by persistent inflation pressures, fiscal deficit expansion, and shifting market perceptions of sovereign risk [[00:01:03](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yOeV2azwkaI&t=00h01m03s)]. - **Breakdown of Stock-Bond Diversification:** U.S. Treasuries have lost their…

Oct 5, 2026·Macro / Economics

Put These Charts on Your Wall (2026 Edition) | 30 Sept 2026 | Charlie Bilello | Creative Planning

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **All-Time Highs Are Not Sell Signals:** S&P 500 total returns following record highs historically outperform random entry points across 1-, 3-, and 5-year horizons ([[00:01:19](https://youtu.be/GFl2yDa__O8?si=ZRYeE9MX5QDXIIvo&t=1m19s)]). - **Non-Linearity & Volatility:** Annual market returns rarely land in the historical average 8–12% band (only 4% of…

Oct 5, 2026·Macro / Economics

Monday: Europe releases diesel stocks | Oct 2026 | 5 in 5 with ANZ

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Middle East Shortages & Diesel Crunch:** White House pressure and US President Donald Trump's export ban threat forced European nations (Germany, France) to release strategic diesel stocks due to global distillate shortages stemming from the Middle East [[00:00:42](https://youtu.be/r_NuzUhdxP8?si=B3dJCI02hr3Ieii3&t=0m42s)]. - **US Macro Volatility &…

Oct 4, 2026·Macro / Economics

Super El Niño: How Weather Shocks Ripple Through the Global Economy | 3 Oct 2026 [Podcast] The Decisive | S&P Global Market Intelligence

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Unprecedented Super El Niño Confirmation:** WMO confirmed a nearly 100% likelihood that El Niño conditions persist through Q1 2027, driven by extreme ocean warmth on the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) [[00:02:32](https://youtu.be/YUoie-mbFbc?si=hM_p1VkPf8cowDOJ&t=2m32s)]. - **Multisector Supply Shock:** Acts as a stagflationary shock across three…

Oct 3, 2026·Macro / Economics

VISION2026 | Big picture views: What’s driving markets now – Jurrien Timmer | 25 Sept 2026 | FidelityConnects

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Cyclical Bull Market Maturity:** S&P 500 is in month 46 of a cyclical bull market (+124% gain over 45 months, third-highest in 50 years); however, earnings growth momentum is reaching a peak rate of change, signalling a transition into a flatter, lower-beta phase [[00:01:33](https://youtu.be/Xx3w7ZXye54?si=13kM0k1JtwQGx-0a&t=1m33s)]. - **The "Mag 7" Era Transition & Market…

Sep 27, 2026·Macro / Economics

Inside Economics #298- Hikes and Haircuts | 23 Sept 2026 | Moody's Talks - Inside Economics Podcast with Mark Zandi

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **FOMC Policy Shift:** The Federal Reserve executed a 25 basis point rate hike, bringing the federal funds target rate to a range of 3.75%–4.00%, marking a hawkish pivot under Chair Kevin Warsh [[00:05:19](https://youtu.be/2s4vR_Q0NLQ?si=r_BNO6uGpIPTWZGd&t=05m19s)]. - **Credibility & Independence Signal:** The unanimous 12–0 vote served as an…

Sep 27, 2026·Macro / Economics

Jurrien Timmer's global macro view – September 21, 2026 | Fidelity Canada

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Oil Supply Stress Echoes:** The oil market disruption originating 6 months prior continues to tighten global supply, directly placing upward pressure on bond yields and weighing down broader equity markets [[01:55](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2svgBXfAuE&t=01m55s)]. - **Negative Stock-Oil Correlation:** S&P 500 and crude oil maintain a strong negative correlation (-59%),…

Sep 25, 2026·Macro / Economics

The Bond Market May Be the Stock Market's Biggest Risk | 25 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Bond Market as Primary Equity Threat:** Higher bond yields and potential further rate hikes present the #1 clear and present risk to the stock market rally [[00:01:52](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OiVqpczNbvw&t=01m52s)]. - **Monetary Policy Pivot:** The interest rate market flipped from expecting multiple rate cuts to pricing in up to four interest…

Sep 25, 2026·Macro / Economics

Why Markets May Be Pricing in Too Many Fed Rate Hikes | 24 Sept 2026 | Exchanges | Goldman Sachs

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Fed Policy & Market Overpricing:** The Federal Reserve's September rate hike was justified due to annualized month-over-month inflation running near ~3%, well above the ~2.5% target. However, money markets are currently overpricing the ultimate extent of rate hikes due to embedded risk premia around new leadership and persistent geopolitical energy…

Sep 24, 2026·Macro / Economics

Chief Economists Outlook: what bond yields and interest rates tell us about the global economy | 22 Sept 2026 | World Economic Forum

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Global Macro Stabilization & Polarization:** Global economic expectations have stabilized compared to four months prior, but structural polarization remains severe due to geopolitical shocks, new trade tariffs, and supply disruptions [[00:03:08](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQUu_KC6hiE&t=03m08s)],…

Sep 23, 2026·Macro / Economics

Markets Weekly September 19, 2026 | Joseph Wang

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Bank of Japan (BOJ) Rate Hike Disappoints:** The BOJ hiked its benchmark interest rate to 1.25%, but two policy dissents from Prime Minister Takaichi appointees signaled potential friction for future tightening, causing a notable sell-off and depreciation in the Japanese Yen [[01:12](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WnMDoth8dNs&t=01m12s)]. - **Bank of…

Sep 20, 2026·Macro / Economics

The Macro Brief - Crunch time for US interest rates | 11 Sept 2026 | HSBC Corporate and Institutional Banking

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Fed Rate Hike Back on the Table:** The Federal Reserve is actively debating a potential 25 bps rate hike as early as the September FOMC meeting (currently seen as an "extremely close call" / 50-50 decision) to counter persistent inflation, marking a total pivot from earlier expectations of rate cuts [[01:51](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oU9nOs-9Bsw&t=01m51s)],…

Sep 11, 2026·Macro / Economics

How is the bond market sell-off impacting the FX market ahead of next week’s BoJ & Fed policy upd... | 11 Sept 2026 | MUFG EMEA

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **US CPI Heating Up:** US August CPI printed at +0.3% MoM (exceeding Nomura’s 0.22% forecast), with elevated PPI and PCE components accelerating core PCE inflation and clearing the runway for Fed rate hikes [[02:16](https://youtu.be/2AzpOKS9EFo?t=2m16s)]. - **ECB Reaches Top of Neutral Range:** The ECB delivered a 25 bps rate hike to hit the upper bound…

Sep 11, 2026·Macro / Economics

The Week Ahead - Crunch time for the Fed and the BOJ | 11 Sept 2026 | The Week Ahead Podcast

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **Hot US CPI / Fed Rate Hikes:** US August CPI printed at +0.3% MoM (exceeding Nomura’s 0.22% forecast), with core PCE accelerating and upstream PPI pressures lingering due to rising crude oil prices, clearing the threshold for a 25 bps Fed rate hike at the upcoming September meeting and another penciled in for December…

Sep 11, 2026·Macro / Economics

Rate Hikes, Recessions, & the Biggest Risk | Signal or Noise Ep 78 | Charlie Bilello | Peter Mallouk | 10 Sept 2026 | Creative Planning

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Federal Reserve Hawkish Shift:** Market expectations are pricing in a 60% probability of a rate hike in September, rising to 87% by December, driven by persistent inflationary pressures [[00:01:25](https://youtu.be/9ROP49CaetM?t=01m25s)]. - **Cumulative Inflation vs. Annual Metrics:** While annual CPI sits near 3.4%, cumulative price increases reach 29% over the last 6 years…

Sep 11, 2026·Macro / Economics

Gundlach Unlocked: The Fed’s Next Move | 10 Sept 2026 | DoubleLine Capital

**1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)** - **Top Key Takeaways:** - **S&P 500 Cape Ratio Extremes:** S&P 500 Schiller CAPE ratio is sitting at 42x [[00:01:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVwbX7dcQWc&t=01m48s)], a historical level exceeded only in 1999 and higher than the 1929 bubble peak [[00:22:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVwbX7dcQWc&t=22m34s)]. Historical regression models indicate that entering at a 42x…

Sep 11, 2026·Macro / Economics

How AI is Affecting GDP Growth, Productivity, and Jobs | 9 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs

_Note: Recorded on August 13, 2026_ **Summary of Discussion on the Economic Impact of AI** Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani and Jan Hatzius discuss the economic impact of artificial intelligence in the United States, emphasizing that the transition is a gradual, long-term structural shift rather than an immediate revolution [00:00](https://youtu.be/rrUQl_AoV3U&t=0s).

Sep 9, 2026·Macro / Economics

Alternatives Macro / Economics Markets & Investments

+11 more tag

Outlook / Update

Moderna’s Dr. Stephen Hoge on AI and the Future of Healthcare | 20 Oct 2026 | Inside Blackstone

"Moderna will never be a one-drug company. It could be zero or it could be a hundred, but it can never be one." - Dr. Stephen Hoge (quoting Stéphane Bancel) [00:08:47]
"The same protein in fact can be encoded by over 10 to the 80th different messenger RNA... that is more variants than there are molecules in the known universe." - **Dr. Stephen…

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 21, 2026

Macro / Economics Outlook / Update

Inside Economics Podcast #302- Survey Says... | 21 Oct 2026 | Moody's Talks - Inside Economics Podcast with Mark Zandi

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Iran War Energy Shock Driving Headline Inflation: US September CPI rose 0.6% MoM (lifting YoY from 3.4% to 3.7%), primarily driven by a 9.0% surge in gasoline prices ($4.35/gal average). Absent the Iran war, headline CPI would be ~1.0 percentage point lower [00:08:16].
**Core CPI Acceleration &…

Macro / Economics Markets & Investments Outlook / Update

Tom Lee's 6 Reasons to Stay Bullish in 2027 - Stenger Family Office Investor Day | 19 Oct 2026 | Stenger Family Office

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Structural AI Supercycle & Infra Scaling: AI capex is projected at $800B/year currently, scaling to $1T/year and cumulative $30T long-term. This footprint mirrors historical buildouts of wireless networks ($25T–$30T) and commercial real estate ($60T), rather than an unsustainable asset bubble…

JPMorgan Macro / Economics Markets & Investments

+11 more tag

Alternatives Macro / Economics Markets & Investments

+11 more tag

Outlook / Update

Japan Macro / Economics Morgan Stanley

+11 more tag

Outlook / Update

Macro / Economics Outlook / Update

Inside Economics Podcast #300- Revisions, Revisions, Revisions | 7 Oct 2026 | Moody's Talks - Inside Economics Podcast with Mark Zandi

"The headline number obviously a little bit weak 29,000 jobs added in September, but the 3-month average is now right about 50,000, which we've been talking about as sort of roughly what we think underlying job growth is." - Dante De Antonio [00:03:23]

"If you exclude healthcare, payroll job growth over the past year has been basically zero... and it's…

Bloomberg Macro / Economics Podcast

Why Treasuries Are ‘Risky’ Again | 5 Oct 2026 | Odd Lots

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Surge in Long-End Yields: The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hit ~5.59%, reaching its highest level since 2002, driven by persistent inflation pressures, fiscal deficit expansion, and shifting market perceptions of sovereign risk [00:01:03].
Breakdown of Stock-Bond Diversification: U.S. Treasuries have lost their…

Macro / Economics Markets & Investments Outlook / Update

Put These Charts on Your Wall (2026 Edition) | 30 Sept 2026 | Charlie Bilello | Creative Planning

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
All-Time Highs Are Not Sell Signals: S&P 500 total returns following record highs historically outperform random entry points across 1-, 3-, and 5-year horizons ([00:01:19]).
Non-Linearity & Volatility: Annual market returns rarely land in the historical average 8–12% band (only 4% of…

China Macro / Economics Markets & Investments

+11 more tag

Outlook / Update

Macro / Economics Outlook / Update

Super El Niño: How Weather Shocks Ripple Through the Global Economy | 3 Oct 2026 [Podcast] The Decisive | S&P Global Market Intelligence

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Unprecedented Super El Niño Confirmation: WMO confirmed a nearly 100% likelihood that El Niño conditions persist through Q1 2027, driven by extreme ocean warmth on the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) [00:02:32].
Multisector Supply Shock: Acts as a stagflationary shock across three…

Fidelity Macro / Economics Markets & Investments

+22 more tags

Macro / Economics Monetary Policy Outlook / Update

Inside Economics #298- Hikes and Haircuts | 23 Sept 2026 | Moody's Talks - Inside Economics Podcast with Mark Zandi

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
FOMC Policy Shift: The Federal Reserve executed a 25 basis point rate hike, bringing the federal funds target rate to a range of 3.75%–4.00%, marking a hawkish pivot under Chair Kevin Warsh [00:05:19].
Credibility & Independence Signal: The unanimous 12–0 vote served as an…

Fidelity Macro / Economics Markets & Investments

+11 more tag

Outlook / Update

Goldman Sachs Macro / Economics Markets & Investments

+11 more tag

Goldman Sachs Macro / Economics Monetary Policy

+11 more tag

Macro / Economics Outlook / Update

Chief Economists Outlook: what bond yields and interest rates tell us about the global economy | 22 Sept 2026 | World Economic Forum

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Global Macro Stabilization & Polarization: Global economic expectations have stabilized compared to four months prior, but structural polarization remains severe due to geopolitical shocks, new trade tariffs, and supply disruptions [00:03:08],…

Macro / Economics Markets & Investments Outlook / Update

Markets Weekly September 19, 2026 | Joseph Wang

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Rate Hike Disappoints: The BOJ hiked its benchmark interest rate to 1.25%, but two policy dissents from Prime Minister Takaichi appointees signaled potential friction for future tightening, causing a notable sell-off and depreciation in the Japanese Yen [01:12].
**Bank of…

Macro / Economics Outlook / Update

The Macro Brief - Crunch time for US interest rates | 11 Sept 2026 | HSBC Corporate and Institutional Banking

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Fed Rate Hike Back on the Table: The Federal Reserve is actively debating a potential 25 bps rate hike as early as the September FOMC meeting (currently seen as an "extremely close call" / 50-50 decision) to counter persistent inflation, marking a total pivot from earlier expectations of rate cuts [01:51],…

Macro / Economics Markets & Investments Outlook / Update

How is the bond market sell-off impacting the FX market ahead of next week’s BoJ & Fed policy upd... | 11 Sept 2026 | MUFG EMEA

Macro / Economics Markets & Investments Nomura

+11 more tag

Outlook / Update

Macro / Economics Markets & Investments Outlook / Update

Rate Hikes, Recessions, & the Biggest Risk | Signal or Noise Ep 78 | Charlie Bilello | Peter Mallouk | 10 Sept 2026 | Creative Planning

Fixed Income Macro / Economics Markets & Investments

+11 more tag

Outlook / Update

AI Goldman Sachs Macro / Economics

+11 more tag

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UJ

Oct 21, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 20, 2026

Outlook / Update

The 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions | 20 Oct 2026 | Insights Now | J.P. Morgan Asset Management

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Global Growth & Productivity Upgrade: Global long-term GDP growth assumptions upgraded by 10 bps, driven by accelerated AI adoption and total factor productivity (TFP) gains [00:03:19].
Massive $14 Trillion AI Capex Cycle: Hyperscaler capex ($800B current annualized run-rate) projected to culminate in a…

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 20, 2026

The Bridge Ep. 23: Can AI Deliver Returns, Not Just Hype? | 30 Sept 2026 | iCapital

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Macro Environment & "Higher for Longer": Rising benchmark interest rates increase discount rates, raising the hurdle rate for cash flows far in the future and disproportionately pressuring long-duration growth assets, including AI VC and public equities [00:01:16].
AI Engine Driving US GDP: Artificial intelligence…

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 8, 2026

Japan’s Banks Enter a New Era of Opportunity | Morgan Stanley

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Transition Beyond Rate Hikes: Japan is shifting from a 30-year period of excess corporate savings and underinvestment into a multi-stage capital expenditure (CapEx) financing cycle [00:00:25].
Domestic Loan Expansion: Japan's domestic loan market is projected to expand from ¥588 trillion…

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 8, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 7, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 5, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 5, 2026

Monday: Europe releases diesel stocks | Oct 2026 | 5 in 5 with ANZ

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Middle East Shortages & Diesel Crunch: White House pressure and US President Donald Trump's export ban threat forced European nations (Germany, France) to release strategic diesel stocks due to global distillate shortages stemming from the Middle East [00:00:42].
**US Macro Volatility &…

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 4, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Oct 3, 2026

Monetary Policy

Outlook / Update

VISION2026 | Big picture views: What’s driving markets now – Jurrien Timmer | 25 Sept 2026 | FidelityConnects

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Cyclical Bull Market Maturity: S&P 500 is in month 46 of a cyclical bull market (+124% gain over 45 months, third-highest in 50 years); however, earnings growth momentum is reaching a peak rate of change, signalling a transition into a flatter, lower-beta phase [00:01:33].
**The "Mag 7" Era Transition & Market…

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 27, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 27, 2026

Jurrien Timmer's global macro view – September 21, 2026 | Fidelity Canada

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Oil Supply Stress Echoes: The oil market disruption originating 6 months prior continues to tighten global supply, directly placing upward pressure on bond yields and weighing down broader equity markets [01:55].
Negative Stock-Oil Correlation: S&P 500 and crude oil maintain a strong negative correlation (-59%),…

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 25, 2026

Outlook / Update

The Bond Market May Be the Stock Market's Biggest Risk | 25 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Bond Market as Primary Equity Threat: Higher bond yields and potential further rate hikes present the #1 clear and present risk to the stock market rally [00:01:52].
Monetary Policy Pivot: The interest rate market flipped from expecting multiple rate cuts to pricing in up to four interest…

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 25, 2026

Why Markets May Be Pricing in Too Many Fed Rate Hikes | 24 Sept 2026 | Exchanges | Goldman Sachs

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Fed Policy & Market Overpricing: The Federal Reserve's September rate hike was justified due to annualized month-over-month inflation running near ~3%, well above the ~2.5% target. However, money markets are currently overpricing the ultimate extent of rate hikes due to embedded risk premia around new leadership and persistent geopolitical energy…

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 24, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 23, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 20, 2026

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 11, 2026

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
US CPI Heating Up: US August CPI printed at +0.3% MoM (exceeding Nomura’s 0.22% forecast), with elevated PPI and PCE components accelerating core PCE inflation and clearing the runway for Fed rate hikes [02:16].
ECB Reaches Top of Neutral Range: The ECB delivered a 25 bps rate hike to hit the upper bound…

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 11, 2026

The Week Ahead - Crunch time for the Fed and the BOJ | 11 Sept 2026 | The Week Ahead Podcast

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
Hot US CPI / Fed Rate Hikes: US August CPI printed at +0.3% MoM (exceeding Nomura’s 0.22% forecast), with core PCE accelerating and upstream PPI pressures lingering due to rising crude oil prices, clearing the threshold for a 25 bps Fed rate hike at the upcoming September meeting and another penciled in for December…

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 11, 2026

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Federal Reserve Hawkish Shift: Market expectations are pricing in a 60% probability of a rate hike in September, rising to 87% by December, driven by persistent inflationary pressures [00:01:25].
Cumulative Inflation vs. Annual Metrics: While annual CPI sits near 3.4%, cumulative price increases reach 29% over the last 6 years…

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 11, 2026

Gundlach Unlocked: The Fed’s Next Move | 10 Sept 2026 | DoubleLine Capital

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

Top Key Takeaways:
S&P 500 Cape Ratio Extremes: S&P 500 Schiller CAPE ratio is sitting at 42x [00:01:48], a historical level exceeded only in 1999 and higher than the 1929 bubble peak [00:22:34]. Historical regression models indicate that entering at a 42x…

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 11, 2026

How AI is Affecting GDP Growth, Productivity, and Jobs | 9 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs

Note: Recorded on August 13, 2026

Summary of Discussion on the Economic Impact of AI

Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani and Jan Hatzius discuss the economic impact of artificial intelligence in the United States, emphasizing that the transition is a gradual, long-term structural shift rather than an immediate revolution 00:00.

View Full Article

UJ

Sep 9, 2026