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"At the moment the pain trade, the momentum trade, is for this equity rally and oil fall to continue." - Ozan Tarman [00:05:47]
"Another observation today reminds me of early February 2020 while we all saw people falling over in China... the S&P made new all-time high. The same is today with Iran. Nobody cares." - Client of Ozan Tarman…
"What are financial markets there for? They're there to roll over our huge debt piles. Something like 80% of all primary transactions in capital markets today are debt refinancing transactions." - Michael Howell [00:08:23]
"The reason that liquidity is going down is plain and simple because the real economy is taking more... all money that's…
McKinsey: " The US is the most economically competitive country in the world today, but it has work to do. Despite accounting for just 4% of the world's population, the US produces 26% of GDP, 27% of research & development, and has 59 of the world's 100 most valuable firms. But the world is changing rapidly, and the next chapter holds immense challenges. How can the US best position itself to…
Changing world order: Way forward for India | Mr Uday Kotak's views @ Kotak's Annual Investor Conferance
Excerpt:
Productivity growth is essentially the sum of “real” or inflation-adjusted wage growth and margin expansion. In other words, companies can pass through productivity gains to workers (in the form of higher wages) or they can take it all and boost profit margins (which will reduce worker’s share of total income). Expanding margins will also show up as inflation and drive real wages lower (since real wage…
10 Micro Themes for 2026: Acquisitions and AI are just the beginning | Global Research Marketing | BofA
The Hausblick Macro Outlook Germany | Deutsche Bank | Report
The report "Infl-AI-tion Risks" by Frank Flight, a Macro Strategist at Citadel Securities, argues that while markets are currently fixated on the deflationary potential of AI (labor displacement), the actual near-term risk is higher-than-expected inflation.
Citadel offers "conceptual pushback" to the popular narrative that AI will quickly lower costs, highlighting several factors that are instead driving…
"The clear US goal is to retain its global hegemony ahead, which is challenged by the rise of China." - RaboResearch (Establishing the foundational motive behind the new US grand strategy)
**"Every dollar we spend, every program we fund, every policy we pursue must be justified by the answer to one of three questions: Does it make America safer? Does it make America stronger? Or does it make America more…
"00:02:53 My entire life ever since I became an economist in the 1960s was to realize that debt was the major problem that was going to be growing exponentially and stifling society." - Michael Hudson (On his core realization)
"00:08:33 The given interest rate was 1/60th per month or the decimalized equivalent of 20% a…
Information for India Macros | Kilika Capital | Investment Strategy Report
As of 3Q2025, Baby Boomers' household wealth swelled to $88.5 trillion - @DataArbor - Liz Ann Sonders
-@factswithmaps. The US Economy split in two. Add the effects of AI on employment. #FourthTurning?
'What's working in 2026? What worked in 2025' - ZeroHedge
BofA Hartnett: Gold & EM stocks = the big outperformers in US$ bear markets...The five big US$ bear markets since 1967 - Mike Zaccardi
Stagflation in 2025. Overheating in 2026 | The Daily Spark | January 14, 2026
Global Macro Outlook 2026 | Ritesh Jain | Pinetree Macro