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"For FI27 the total defense budget is stated as 7.9 trillion INR... this is roughly about 2% of the total GDP." - Vikas [00:01:08]
"US has in absolute terms a little shy of a trillion dollar budget spending... out of the total $2.6-2.7 trillion of the total global defense budget." - Vikas…
"this two shall pass and uh we clearly had no inkling of what president trump will tweet but that one tweet i think has improved has changed things" - Prashant Jain [00:03:06]
"if you absorb 30 40 billion dollars of selling and you are down only 10%... it tells you a lot how resilient these markets have become apart from the economy" - **Prashant…
Shattered Assumptions And The Energy Quandary | Louis-Vincent Gave | Gavekal Research Report
KKR Japan — Thoughts from the Road Henry McVey (Head, Global Macro & Asset Allocation) & Team
Field report following meetings with CEOs, policymakers, and investors in Tokyo
Bottom line
"If I could simplify it from innings I would say there's really like two big acts here that we've seen around AI and act one was just around you know is AI real is AI a big deal..." - Stephanie Aliaga [00:01:08]
"AI is increasingly zero sum one company's profit margin is another company's cost of goods sold and markets are trying to parse through all of that." -…
"Not having [commodities] is much more expensive than the storage cost, so that not paying that storage cost was actually a false saving." - Louis Gave [00:05:51]
"Drone warfare has completely changed warfare... look at the US Navy, the most powerful navy the world has ever seen bar none absolutely, but it can't get within 300 miles of the Hormuz…
"This is just a huge moment because we have never seen a technology like this and it's moving not in a straight curve it's continuing to curve up and it's nearly vertical what this technology can do now..." - Nikolai Tangen [00:00:07]
"Are we able to utilize all this technology and that is really the tough part I think is to get the organizations to absorb and to…
"Inflation is going to continue to accelerate... Inflation is going to go into the double digits and who knows it may even go into the triple digits..." - Peter Schiff [00:09:32]
"If we kept track of unemployment and inflation... the way we did in the 70s, you would have to double pretty much both the unemployment rate and the inflation rate..."…
Debt, Deficits & Global Imbalances: Are Capital Controls Back on the Table? #J.P.Morgan #Report
"The secret to being a civilized money manager is to grow up lower class you don't adopt all of the latestage capitalism effects." - Barry Ritholtz (On maintaining perspective in finance) 00:00:42
"History tells us that those sort of consensus views—that sort of fear—that tends not to be what happens. Usually it's not even something in the middle; it's…
"we are at an inflection point where the assumptions that shaped the global markets for the last three decades are no longer true" - Speaker [00:00:00]
"Empires don't just collapse overnight. They fade into oblivion. The pattern is remarkably consistent." - Speaker [00:03:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YSEcXpMHTlY&t=0h3m18s)
"When balance sheets…
The results indicate that **positive oil price moves and data surprises significantly lift yields, higher policy uncertainty lowers them, and geopolitical shocks have no direct…
Bloomberg: The Goldman team said their basket of capital intensive stocks whose economic value derives from physical assets has outperformed a capital light group reliant on human or digital capital by about 35% since the start of 2025.
Investors are increasingly turning to stocks with what the strategists called the “HALO effect,” for heavy assets and low obsolescence, in sectors like…
PGIM’s Best Ideas highlights what we believe to be six of the most appealing investment opportunities for 2026, all framed by the following four market‑shaping themes: - The Era of Fiscal Dominance...and the End of Central Bank Innocence: Geopolitical rivalry is expensive. Record defense budgets, expanding industrial policy, and rising populism will likely compel major economies to run historically high…
Geopolitical Risk #GoldmanSachs
The Three Core Investing Principles
The report grounds its outlook in three "tried and true" principles that dictate long-term market performance:
"The clear US goal is to retain its global hegemony ahead, which is challenged by the rise of China." - RaboResearch (Establishing the foundational motive behind the new US grand strategy)
**"Every dollar we spend, every program we fund, every policy we pursue must be justified by the answer to one of three questions: Does it make America safer? Does it make America stronger? Or does it make America more…
"The full Elon investment club. The map outlines the universe of investors in the Elon Musk-onomy." #Pitchbook
Most of the time in financial markets is spent on discussing Nvidia, Apple and Coca-Cola, but these firms and the rest of the S&P 500 companies only make up a very small part of the US economy, see our chart book available here. For example, employment in S&P 500 companies is only 18% of total US employment.…
TCI Fund Management’s Record-Breaking Performance
#Commodities Markets Are Small Compared to Bond and Equity Markets #Assets #GoldmanSachs
"Markets pricing goldilocks. World moving towards fat tails. Point of most fragility - credit markets." | Fat Tails on Fire (The Silver Bullet - No. 15) | Andromeda Capital Management
