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"For Iran, this is seen to be a regime change war with objectives of overthrowing or destabilizing the Islamic Republic in a significant way." - Sanam Vakil [00:01:03]
"The system or what remains of it is fighting for its very survival with the aim to spread the costs of the war horizontally and as widely as possible so that when offramps do…
Iran Conflict: How Long, and How Bad? (Mar 23, 2026) | Top of Mind | Goldman Sachs
"The future's very hard to go and identify, but I noticed the people who are very good traders are the people who react the quickest to changes because they're not so set." - Lloyd Blankfein [00:13:02]
"You can recover from losses and live to fight another day; you can't recover from being dead." - Lloyd Blankfein…
"Not all software is created the same. And the challenge is going to be some of the software companies that will have terminal value questions we won't see that for several years because today these credits are performing just fine." - Alex Blostein [00:03:59]
"It's credit. It's not equity. And do I think fundamentals will likely deteriorate from…
"I think the market is already somewhat defensively positioned. And I think positioning is more conservative, but the market is fragile." - John Storey [00:00:26]
"If you look at our gross market value in prime, and look at our short macro products, it's the highest level we've seen on the short side since September 2023." - John Storey…
"I think the market is pricing in a higher inflation shock in response to the spike in energy prices that you've seen as a result of the conflict." - Kamakshya Trivedi [00:00:47]
"It hasn't really been a growth shock that's been priced. That's the shoe that's left to drop." - Kamakshya Trivedi…
Goldman Sachs: Asset classes perform amid geopolitical events
"I'll challenge whether we've actually exited that phase of AI optimism. Because when I speak to those that are most involved in that space, they think we hit an inflection point in the last few months." - Kunal Shah [00:17:34]
"Europe has 450 million people. It has roughly 15 percent of the global GDP. Its capacity to operate in a meaningful way…
Will AI Eat Software?(Mar 10, 2026) #TopofMind #GoldmanSachs #Report (Click 'Source or Link' Button)
Following the military campaign by the U.S. and Israel resulting in the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, global energy markets are facing heightened volatility. This summary outlines the strategic implications for supply, pricing, and the broader economy.
Immediate Disruptions & Infrastructure Impact The conflict has moved beyond regional tension into a "tail risk" scenario involving…
"Investors aren't blindly buying a vision anymore; they are policing the cash conversion path." - Tony Pasquariello (On the shift in market sentiment toward Big Tech spending) [00:04:15]
"Strategic necessity isn't a blank cheque; the market is starting to demand a 'show me' phase for AI revenues." - Dominic Wilson (Discussing hyperscaler capital…
Top of Mind: Americas First (Jan 2026) | Goldman Sachs | (Click Source)
GS: While our long-run crude oil price forecast is above the forwards (Brent 2030 forecast of $75), our near-term base case remains that Brent moderates from $68/bbl to a bottom of $54 by 2026Q4 for two reasons. - First, we expect a 2026 surplus of just over 2mb/d assuming the January supply disruptions in Kazakhstan and the US ease and no large new supply disruptions (if US policymakers focus…
#Commodities Markets Are Small Compared to Bond and Equity Markets #Assets #GoldmanSachs
"00:04:12 The 'Goldilocks' era of low inflation and low rates is behind us; we are entering a regime where diversification must be more dynamic and intentional." - Christian Mueller-Glissmann (Discussing the end of the traditional 60/40 dominance)
*"00:08:45 Alpha is no longer just about picking the right stock; it’s about…
"02:48 The fiscal impulse will be worth more than half a percentage point on GDP growth... a combination of many things hitting at the same time." — David Mericle (Discussing the front-loaded impact of US tax cuts and spending)
*"08:34 The property sector took almost 2 points off Chinese GDP growth in 2025. We estimate that drag…
"00:01:15 As we go into 2026, I think the story is a little bit clearer because the tariff issue is now in the rearview mirror. The increases in tariffs are behind us." - Jan Hatzius (Discussing the shift from the volatile trade environment of 2025 to a more stable growth path in 2026)
"00:04:30 *Basically the unemployment rate…
"Private investors joined central banks in competing for the same limited gold bullion." — Lina Thomas (Discussing the drivers of the 2025 gold rally) [00:00:42]
"The debasement trade is basically where the volatility is coming from... worries around fiscal sustainability in a lot of Western economies." — Lina Thomas (Explaining the psychological drivers…
"It's not a bubble when everybody thinks it's a bubble. It's going to be a bubble when we get to the other side of this." — David Craver 12:48 (Discussing AI market sentiment)
"I used to be able to read a press release and tell you what the stock was going to do the next day. And that is no longer the case." — David Craver…
"Under the surface, there were some really important debates that equity investors are having right now and some really... key tensions." - Shawn Tuteja (00:36)
"Wednesday, February 4th... was the worst performance day for those communities since Covid." - Shawn Tuteja (05:20)
"It was the largest shorting of US single stocks ever in…