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"You can't hit the global economy with a shock of that magnitude and not expect bad things to happen." - Jeff Currie [00:01:13]
"The 2-year note yield has now poked its head above the Fed funds rate, which is telling you the markets think that interest rates are going to go up." - Michael McKee…
"Modern monetary theory is the idea that... there isn't an effective constraint on financing; the only constraint... is that if you produce too much it could be inflationary." - Simon French (Defining the core tenet of MMT) [00:01:35]
"The idea that fiscal policy can respond in short order has been slightly disproven in practice." - Simon French (On why MMT's…
Elon Musk: “We’ve got two choices: hit the chip wall or make a fab,” he said in late January.
Bloomberg: “We stand at the cusp of something that is bigger than anything we’ve faced before,” Tim Archer, chief executive officer of chip equipment supplier [Lam Research…
The video highlights five key trends that will influence energy markets in 2026, moving beyond immediate geopolitical headlines to deeper forces (0:04).
"I like to say show me the glut... if you're having to scrape the data to find evidence of this oil supply glut, it's not an oil supply glut." - Jeff Currie (On the inaccuracy of current market surplus theories) 00:00:19 *"We called this the revenge of the old economy and it's a rotation out of the new economy tech... into the old economy which is asset…
Executive Summary
This Bloomberg TV segment features Oxana Aronov (JP Morgan Asset Management) and Jeff Sherman (DoubleLine Capital) discussing the complex dynamics of the current interest rate environment. The core thesis is that traditional fixed income is struggling to serve as a reliable hedge outside of a deep recession due to persistent fiscal policy concerns, **inflation…
Corrected Yield Curve Quotes
"Treasuries resumed their role as a traditional haven, helped by the latest Challenger data and jobless claims showing weakness in the labor market. The 2s10s curve steepened to the widest in more than four years." — Narrator (Scarlett Fu) [00:02:56]
"The 2s10s steepener is probably the easiest money…
BBG: IEA estimates a Supply will outpace demand by ~4mbpd in 2026
Bloomberg: Fiscal Breakeven Price of Oil Producers vs Average expected price in 2026
BBG: Chinese households are scouring for higher-yielding investments as roughly $7 trillion in time deposits come due this year, a shift that could provide additional fuel for the nation’s financial markets. The mountain of savings is a legacy of a prolonged real estate crisis and years of lackluster stock returns, which prompted millions to seek the safety of bank deposits. With rates now **sliding…
January inflows into equity-focused ETFs are running at five times the average for the month, with the funds attracting a record $400 billion over the past three months, a sign of just how aggressive risk appetite has become.
Leveraged-long ETFs now hold $145 billion in assets, compared with just $12 billion in funds that bet on market declines. Cash allocations have dropped to record lows, according…