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Geopolitics | Global power, conflict & policy

Geopolitics · Global power, conflict, and policy intelligence | Showing 16 of 16

Geopolitics | Global power, conflict & policy

Global power, conflict, and policy — the stories reshaping the world order.

Geopolitics · Showing 16 of 16

https://x.com/ctindale/status/2041325114684571843?s=20

*Tindale’s Trap: When Reserve Advantage Erodes Productive Capacity | [Craig Tindale](https://x.com/ctindale)*

Apr 8, 2026·Article
https://x.com/ctindale/status/2041325114684571843?s=20

Why Kenneth Rogoff thinks China’s yuan will be a reserve currency ‘in the next 5 years’ | SCMP

Read the entire article @ [SCMP](https://sc.mp/5pp9y?utm_source=copy-link&utm_campaign=3348156&utm_medium=share_widget). Below is a short summary of his core arguments: **The 5-Year Prediction for the Yuan** Rogoff predicts the Chinese yuan will become a vital global reserve currency within the next **five years**. He notes a pivotal shift in China’s leadership, where President Xi Jinping has now explicitly…

Mar 30, 2026·China
Why Kenneth Rogoff thinks China’s yuan will be a reserve currency ‘in the next 5 years’ | SCMP

What Iran means for the dollar: a perfect storm for the petrodollar? | March 24, 2026 | Deutsche Bank Research Institute

**1. Metadata & Credentials** - **Title:** What Iran means for the dollar: a perfect storm for the petrodollar - **Author:** Mallika Sachdeva, Strategist - **Source/Publication:** Deutsche Bank Research Institute - **Core Thesis:** The current Middle East conflict is fundamentally testing the US security umbrella that underpins the 1974 petrodollar agreement. This geopolitical fracture, combined with a potential…

Mar 27, 2026·Currencies & FX
What Iran means for the dollar: a perfect storm for the petrodollar? | March 24, 2026 | Deutsche Bank Research Institute

Dollar Endgame : Brent Johnson, Whitney Baker, Michael Every, Izabella Kaminska, John Butler

> "The only way to truly stabilize this system is for everyone to be willing to move to a global monetary equilibrium where the reference point is not one that can be printed, devalued, or defaulted on by anyone else. And that's gold." - **John Butler** [[01:11:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-ZHu5IW_p8&t=1h11m9s)] > "The United States has done more to tear down the rules-based order in the last 16 months…

Mar 18, 2026·all-in-podcast
Dollar Endgame : Brent Johnson, Whitney Baker, Michael Every, Izabella Kaminska, John Butler

If You Don't Understand the Petrodollar, You Don't Understand Money

- > "did you know there is an invisible system that controls nearly every trade on the planet and I don't mean supply and demand" - **Felix Pin** [[00:00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpEFA4LH6MM&t=0s)] - > "every single day the world burns through about 93 million barrels of oil" - **Felix Pin** [[00:02:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpEFA4LH6MM&t=150s)] - > "the dollar was gold you could walk up to a…

Mar 18, 2026·Crude Oil & Energy
If You Don't Understand the Petrodollar, You Don't Understand Money

India - Strait of Hormuz closure: Not just about oil prices for INR | MUFG

> [Michael Wan](https://www.mufgresearch.com/meet-the-team#michael-wan): We see the Indian Rupee as vulnerable and USD/INR likely rising above 95 levels if the Iran and Middle East conflict is sustained and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed with Brent oil prices returning back to the US$100/bbl at the time of our writing: - While we do not yet know how the Iran and Middle East conflict will play out from here,…

Mar 14, 2026·Crude Oil & Energy
India - Strait of Hormuz closure: Not just about oil prices for INR | MUFG

The Great Rebalancing Chapter 1: Currency, crypto, and payment infrastructure | Feb 3, 2026 | Deutsche Bank Research Institute | Report

> Deutsche Bank Research Institute series, authored by [Marion Laboure, Ph.D.](https://www.linkedin.com/in/marionlaboure/) and [Camilla Siazon](https://www.linkedin.com/in/camilla-siazon-93b8ab121/), explores five global chokepoints reshaping economies: currencies, critical minerals, chips, cables and cloud. > Chapter 1: Currency, crypto and payment infrastructure – in a nutshell - The contest has changed: it’s…

Mar 14, 2026·Alternatives
The Great Rebalancing Chapter 1: Currency, crypto, and payment infrastructure | Feb 3, 2026 | Deutsche Bank Research Institute |  Report

Geoeconomics 101: implications for the dollar, emerging markets and beyond | 29 Jan 2026 | DB Research

**Overall Strategic Conclusion** We are entering a structurally more fragmented global system where: - Economic policy is weaponised - Defence spending structurally higher - Financial networks politicised - Commodity control strategic - Tech stack dominance decisive - Dollar dominant but gradually diversifying - Europe structurally behind - EM volatility structurally higher

Feb 22, 2026·Currencies & FX
Geoeconomics 101: implications for the dollar, emerging markets and beyond | 29 Jan 2026 | DB Research

$tablecoins in an un$table $ystem | Global Strategy | 21 Aug 2025 | Rabobank |

> "The **post-WW2 and Cold War global architecture is crumbling; systemic geopolitical and geoeconomic instability is rising**; so are risks of geo-financial instability as fiscal deficits grow, public debt rises, and hopes for rate cuts meet sticky inflation." - **RaboResearch (Michael Every & Christian Lawrence)** (Executive summary). > "Stablecoins **may play a pivotal role – though ironically they are likely…

Feb 21, 2026·Currencies & FX
$tablecoins in an un$table $ystem | Global Strategy | 21 Aug 2025 | Rabobank |

https://media.rabobank.com/m/25b5e7fd0ccc31a0/original/President-Trump-achev-Go-rump.pdf

*US Stablecoins : A US Geopolitical Weapon? #Rabobank #MichaelEvery*

Feb 21, 2026·Stablecoins
https://media.rabobank.com/m/25b5e7fd0ccc31a0/original/President-Trump-achev-Go-rump.pdf

MacroVoices #520 Michael Every: USD Stablecoins in The Age of Economic Statecraft

> "**Loyalty** first and foremost... **Warsh** has a close relationship with **Bessent** at Treasury, which is incredibly important." - Michael Every (Context: Discussing the criteria for the new Federal Reserve leadership) [[00:05:55](https://youtu.be/bdasraPo1Ak?t=355)] > "A woman needs a man like a fish needs a bicycle. It's just **two** different things that you're looking at, because where interest rates need…

Feb 20, 2026·Currencies & FX
MacroVoices #520 Michael Every: USD Stablecoins in The Age of Economic Statecraft

140 Years Of Monetary History In 10 Minutes | GoldSilver

> "[00:00:00](https://youtu.be/wD3KYlpE2lk?t=0) Everybody thinks the **US dollar** is still as good as gold and it hasn't been since **1971**." - **Mike Maloney** (Context: Introduction to monetary misconceptions) > "[00:00:50](https://youtu.be/wD3KYlpE2lk?t=50) This is what gives governments the ability to start this **scam** in the first place where they print these **receipts** for gold and then they can print…

Feb 16, 2026·Currencies & FX
140 Years Of Monetary History In 10 Minutes | GoldSilver

Meiji 2.0? Takaichi’s supermajority, the yen constraint, and whether Japan is about to attempt another national reinvention | Jacob Shapiro

> "Is Takaichi’s victory a sign that Japan is rising again? Is Japan about to attempt another reinvention — or is this simply the last confident gesture of a country learning to manage decline?" > "[If] Takaichi is successful, it will be more appropriate to invoke the era of the Meiji Restoration, a period of explosive growth and strength marked not by a new leader but by a new state." - **Jacob Shapiro**…

Feb 16, 2026·Blog / Article
Meiji 2.0? Takaichi’s supermajority, the yen constraint, and whether Japan is about to attempt another national reinvention | Jacob Shapiro

https://youtu.be/wuMj5GCiB0w?si=-BGG3gK_MpZibAqr&t=19

*Dollar Weakness May Extend Through 2026 | Presented by CME Group |[🔗 Link](https://youtu.be/wuMj5GCiB0w?si=-BGG3gK_MpZibAqr&t=19)*

Feb 6, 2026·Dollar
https://youtu.be/wuMj5GCiB0w?si=-BGG3gK_MpZibAqr&t=19

https://x.com/dailychartbook/status/2016805955443339279?s=20

*"USD weakness has been driven primarily by a shift in global risk appetite rather than a fundamental reassessment of US eco prospects.": @RenMacLLC | [@dailychartbook](https://x.com/dailychartbook)

Jan 30, 2026·Dollar
https://x.com/dailychartbook/status/2016805955443339279?s=20

https://x.com/elerianm/status/2013611869689225292?s=20

#Dollar #Bonds #Instability #Geo-Economics

Jan 20, 2026·Geopolitics
https://x.com/elerianm/status/2013611869689225292?s=20
Source
ArticleReport, Blogs & InsightsMacro / Economics
+44 more tags
GeopoliticsCurrencies & FXCommoditiesMarkets & Investments

https://x.com/ctindale/status/2041325114684571843?s=20

Tindale’s Trap: When Reserve Advantage Erodes Productive Capacity | Craig Tindale

View Full Article
UJ
Apr 8, 2026
Source
ChinaCurrencies & FXDollar
Source
Currencies & FXCurrencyDollar
Source
all-in-podcastCurrencies & FXCurrency
+88 more tags
Dollar
Source
Crude Oil & EnergyCurrencies & FXCurrency
+1414 more tags
Documentary
Source
Crude Oil & EnergyCurrencies & FXCurrency
Source
AlternativesChokepointsCurrencies & FX
Source
Currencies & FXEconomicsEmerging Markets
Source
Currencies & FXFinance
Source
StablecoinsRabobank
Source
Currencies & FXDollar, Money & CurrencyEconomics
+77 more tags
Source
Currencies & FXCurrencyDollar
+88 more tags
Source
Blog / ArticleCurrencies & FXEconomics
Source
DollarUSAMacros
+55 more tags
Podcast
Source
DollarMacrosGeopolitics
+44 more tags
Source
GeopoliticsDollarEquity
+55 more tags
+8
8 more tags
Dollar, Money & CurrencyFinanceGeopoliticsMacro / EconomicsMarkets & InvestmentsReport, Blogs & InsightsReserve CurrencyYuan

Why Kenneth Rogoff thinks China’s yuan will be a reserve currency ‘in the next 5 years’ | SCMP

Read the entire article @ SCMP. Below is a short summary of his core arguments:

The 5-Year Prediction for the Yuan

Rogoff predicts the Chinese yuan will become a vital global reserve currency within the next five years. He notes a pivotal shift in China’s leadership, where President Xi Jinping has now explicitly…

View Full Article
UJ
Mar 30, 2026
+11
11 more tags
Dollar, Money & CurrencyEconomicsFinanceGeopoliticsIran ConflictMacro / EconomicsMarkets & InvestmentsMiddle EastReportReport, Blogs & InsightsWall Street

What Iran means for the dollar: a perfect storm for the petrodollar? | March 24, 2026 | Deutsche Bank Research Institute

1. Metadata & Credentials

  • Title: What Iran means for the dollar: a perfect storm for the petrodollar
  • Author: Mallika Sachdeva, Strategist
  • Source/Publication: Deutsche Bank Research Institute
  • Core Thesis: The current Middle East conflict is fundamentally testing the US security umbrella that underpins the 1974 petrodollar agreement. This geopolitical fracture, combined with a potential…
View Full Article
UJ
Mar 27, 2026
Economics
Geopolitics
Macro / Economics
Macros
Markets & Investments
Podcast
US / West

Dollar Endgame : Brent Johnson, Whitney Baker, Michael Every, Izabella Kaminska, John Butler

"The only way to truly stabilize this system is for everyone to be willing to move to a global monetary equilibrium where the reference point is not one that can be printed, devalued, or defaulted on by anyone else. And that's gold." - John Butler [01:11:09]

"The United States has done more to tear down the rules-based order in the last 16 months…

View Full Article
UJ
Mar 18, 2026
Dollar
Dollar, Money & Currency
Economics
Finance
Geopolitics
History
Knowledge Bytes
Learning
Macro / Economics
Macros
Petrodollar
Podcast
Primer

If You Don't Understand the Petrodollar, You Don't Understand Money

  • "did you know there is an invisible system that controls nearly every trade on the planet and I don't mean supply and demand" - Felix Pin [00:00:00]

  • "every single day the world burns through about 93 million barrels of oil" - Felix Pin [00:02:30]

  • "the dollar was gold you could walk up to a…

View Full Article
UJ
Mar 18, 2026
+7
7 more tags
GeopoliticsIndiaMacro / EconomicsMarkets & InvestmentsMiddle EastReport, Blogs & InsightsUSD/INR

India - Strait of Hormuz closure: Not just about oil prices for INR | MUFG

Michael Wan: We see the Indian Rupee as vulnerable and USD/INR likely rising above 95 levels if the Iran and Middle East conflict is sustained and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed with Brent oil prices returning back to the US$100/bbl at the time of our writing:

  • While we do not yet know how the Iran and Middle East conflict will play out from here,…
View Full Article
UJ
Mar 14, 2026
+9
9 more tags
CurrencyFinanceGeopoliticsMacro / EconomicsMacrosMarkets & InvestmentsReportReport, Blogs & InsightsWall Street

The Great Rebalancing Chapter 1: Currency, crypto, and payment infrastructure | Feb 3, 2026 | Deutsche Bank Research Institute | Report

Deutsche Bank Research Institute series, authored by Marion Laboure, Ph.D. and Camilla Siazon, explores five global chokepoints reshaping economies: currencies, critical minerals, chips, cables and cloud.

Chapter 1: Currency, crypto and payment infrastructure – in a nutshell - The contest has changed: it’s…

View Full Article
UJ
Mar 14, 2026
+10
10 more tags
FinanceGeoeconomicsGeopoliticsKnowledge BytesMacro / EconomicsMacrosMarkets & InvestmentsReportReport, Blogs & InsightsUS / West

Geoeconomics 101: implications for the dollar, emerging markets and beyond | 29 Jan 2026 | DB Research

Overall Strategic Conclusion

We are entering a structurally more fragmented global system where:

  • Economic policy is weaponised
  • Defence spending structurally higher
  • Financial networks politicised
  • Commodity control strategic
  • Tech stack dominance decisive
  • Dollar dominant but gradually diversifying
  • Europe structurally behind
  • EM volatility structurally higher
View Full Article
UJ
Feb 22, 2026
Geopolitics
+66 more tags
Macro / EconomicsMarkets & InvestmentsMonetary PolicyRabobankReport, Blogs & InsightsStablecoins

$tablecoins in an un$table $ystem | Global Strategy | 21 Aug 2025 | Rabobank |

"The post-WW2 and Cold War global architecture is crumbling; systemic geopolitical and geoeconomic instability is rising; so are risks of geo-financial instability as fiscal deficits grow, public debt rises, and hopes for rate cuts meet sticky inflation." - RaboResearch (Michael Every & Christian Lawrence) (Executive summary).

"Stablecoins **may play a pivotal role – though ironically they are likely…

View Full Article
UJ
Feb 21, 2026
Geopolitics
+1111 more tags
ReportPE/VCFinanceWall StreetMacro / EconomicsDollar, Money & CurrencyReport, Blogs & InsightsMarkets & InvestmentsCurrencies & FXUS / WestMonetary Policy

https://media.rabobank.com/m/25b5e7fd0ccc31a0/original/President-Trump-achev-Go-rump.pdf

US Stablecoins : A US Geopolitical Weapon? #Rabobank #MichaelEvery

View Full Article
UJ
Feb 21, 2026
Finance
Geopolitics
Macro / Economics
Macros
Markets & Investments
PE/VC
Podcast

MacroVoices #520 Michael Every: USD Stablecoins in The Age of Economic Statecraft

"Loyalty first and foremost... Warsh has a close relationship with Bessent at Treasury, which is incredibly important." - Michael Every (Context: Discussing the criteria for the new Federal Reserve leadership) [00:05:55]

"A woman needs a man like a fish needs a bicycle. It's just two different things that you're looking at, because where interest rates need…

View Full Article
UJ
Feb 20, 2026
Dollar, Money & Currency
Economics
Finance
Geopolitics
History
Macro / Economics
Money
Podcast

140 Years Of Monetary History In 10 Minutes | GoldSilver

"00:00:00 Everybody thinks the US dollar is still as good as gold and it hasn't been since 1971." - Mike Maloney (Context: Introduction to monetary misconceptions)

"00:00:50 This is what gives governments the ability to start this scam in the first place where they print these receipts for gold and then they can print…

View Full Article
UJ
Feb 16, 2026
+7
7 more tags
EquityGeopoliticsJapanMacrosMarkets & InvestmentsReport, Blogs & InsightsThemes

Meiji 2.0? Takaichi’s supermajority, the yen constraint, and whether Japan is about to attempt another national reinvention | Jacob Shapiro

"Is Takaichi’s victory a sign that Japan is rising again? Is Japan about to attempt another reinvention — or is this simply the last confident gesture of a country learning to manage decline?"

"[If] Takaichi is successful, it will be more appropriate to invoke the era of the Meiji Restoration, a period of explosive growth and strength marked not by a new leader but by a new state." - Jacob Shapiro…

View Full Article
UJ
Feb 16, 2026
Markets & Investments
Geopolitics
Currencies & FX
US / West

https://youtu.be/wuMj5GCiB0w?si=-BGG3gK_MpZibAqr&t=19

Dollar Weakness May Extend Through 2026 | Presented by CME Group |🔗 Link

View Full Article
UJ
Feb 6, 2026
Report, Blogs & InsightsMacro / EconomicsMarkets & InvestmentsCurrencies & FX

https://x.com/dailychartbook/status/2016805955443339279?s=20

*"USD weakness has been driven primarily by a shift in global risk appetite rather than a fundamental reassessment of US eco prospects.": @RenMacLLC | @dailychartbook

View Full Article
UJ
Jan 30, 2026
MacrosCreditReport, Blogs & InsightsMarkets & InvestmentsCurrencies & FX

https://x.com/elerianm/status/2013611869689225292?s=20

#Dollar #Bonds #Instability #Geo-Economics

View Full Article
UJ
Jan 20, 2026