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Middle East/March 25, 2026/1 min read/open.substack.com

The Hormuz Crisis: An Alternative View | Substack | Anas Alhajji

Source

Excerpt from the article.

The ongoing crisis can be viewed in two main ways:

  • Iran and its nuclear program as the central focus of the conflict. In this narrow lens, the war revolves primarily around containing or neutralizing Iran’s nuclear ambitions. If that’s the case, any impact is short-lived. Regardless, the US will benefit, even in the long term, from the closure of the Hormuz strait
  • Iran as one piece in a much larger geopolitical puzzle. Here, the current events fit into a broader US strategy encompassing trade wars, economic sanctions, tariffs, control over chokepoints like the Panama Canal, both ends of the Red Sea, pressures on Venezuela, interest in Greenland, and other elements. This aligns with the framework laid out in the US National Security Strategy released in November 2025. In this case, the implications extend far beyond the short term. Disruptions would reshape global economics, politics, trade patterns, and investment flows for decades, marking a truly historic realignment.

Who is responsible for closing the Strait of Hormuz?

It ultimately comes down to either the United States or Iran:

References

  1. Original source (open.substack.com)

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Published
March 25, 2026
Read time
1 min read
Progress0%
  • If the U.S. is orchestrating or driving events, Iran serves merely as one element—a trigger or pretext—within a much wider global strategy.
  • If Iran is the primary driver, then the US National Security Strategy would have to be seen as having failed outright, as it would mean the US has lost control over key escalation dynamics and failed to deter or shape outcomes in line with its stated priorities. The Strategy states:

“America will always have core interests in ensuring that Gulf energy supplies do not fall into the hands of an outright enemy, that the Strait of Hormuz remain open, that the Red Sea remain navigable, that the region not be an incubator or exporter of terror against American interests or the American homeland, and that Israel remain secure...”

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