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The Copper Price Explosion

  • The Copper Price Explosion
  • Strategic Importance & Demand
  • Market Outlook

On this page

  • The Copper Price Explosion
  • Strategic Importance & Demand
  • Market Outlook
Copper/January 7, 2026/2 min read/open.substack.com

https://open.substack.com/pub/matein/p/the-world-has-now-entered-historys?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web

Source

Excerpt: "Since copper supplies are mission critical for EV makers, the Defense Department and AI/data center, Silicon Valley will be scrambling to secure supplies in copper. The world’s power grid is still mired in the Belle Époque era of Thomas Alva Edison when we are in the era of EV mass production and mega data center construction budget in the hundreds of billions of dollars that can simply not materialize without reliable supplies of Cu. Something is dangerously wrong in a world where the fate of Silicon Valley, the Pentagon, the MAG-7, NVDA, TSLA and 138 Chinese EV sweatshops across the Dragon Empire are all hostage to a single copper mine located in the heart of darkness in the Congo’s Shaba province. This is a concentration risk that alone guarantees multi bagger to anyone with the research skills, industry contacts, patience and abdominal fortitude to do the right thing for his/her heirs and go long the right copper miners at the right price."


Here is a summary of the key points: The author argues that copper is entering a historic supply shock similar to the 1973 oil crisis.

References

  1. Original source (open.substack.com)

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Published
January 7, 2026
Read time
2 min read
Progress0%
The Copper Price Explosion
  • Price Milestone: Copper (often called "Dr. Copper") has hit a massive breakout, reaching nearly $13,400 per metric ton on the LME.
  • Tariff Impact: The author attributes this "supply shock" to President Trump’s 15% tariff on copper imports (set to rise to 30% in 2027).
  • Inventory Shift: US stockpiles have quadrupled since last spring as the country prepares for trade barriers, effectively draining global supplies in London, Singapore, and Shanghai.

Strategic Importance & Demand

  • Mission Critical: Copper is essential for three massive growth sectors: Electric Vehicles (EVs), AI/Data Centers, and National Defense.
  • Concentration Risk: The author warns that the global tech and defense sectors are dangerously dependent on a single mine in the Congo, creating a massive risk—and opportunity—for investors.
  • Infrastructure Gap: The world's power grids are outdated and cannot support the green energy transition or AI boom without a massive influx of copper (Cu).

Market Outlook

  • Investment Thesis: The author predicts "triple-bagger" returns (300% gains) for specific global mining stocks in 2026.
  • Geopolitical Context: The commentary links the metals boom to broader Latin American shifts, including civil unrest at Chile's Mantoverde mine and political volatility in Colombia and Venezuela.
  • Risks: The only significant downside identified is a potential "U-turn" by Trump on copper tariffs, though the author considers this unlikely given copper's status as a "national security metal."

The Impact of AI on the Economy and Markets | May 28, 2026 | Torsten Slok's The Daily Spark | Apollo Global

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