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China/February 23, 2026/1 min read/reuters.com

China’s trade surplus misleads its Western critics | Reuters

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Reuters:...Weijian Shan of Asia-focused private equity firm PAG, who believes, opens new tab Beijing could live with a 50% exchange-rate appreciation over five years, recently estimated Chinese manufacturing to be twice as productive as the U.S.'s in terms of physical output. High-tech exports are especially insensitive to currency prices.

Ultimately, China's surplus is confounding Western thinking. For decades, economists warned that East Asia’s state-directed investment and overcapacity would eventually hit a Soviet‑style wall, opens new tab and choke off innovation. Yet, while wasteful spending has abounded, it has also generated clear technological advantages for what is now the world's second largest economy.

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  1. Original source (reuters.com)

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Published
February 23, 2026
Read time
1 min read
Progress0%

Replicating these advantages is the best way to fight back. Economist Luca Fornaro and his co-authors in a paper published last month, opens new tab argue for public research and subsidising private innovation. A version of this is the Netherlands’ “Project Beethoven,”, opens new tab which is attempting to support chip leader ASML (ASML.AS), opens new tab and a semiconductor ecosystem by funding universities, housing, transport links and energy infrastructure.

"Russia and China are eternal neighbors, they're not eternal friends. They have been their worst enemies over the years." Sarah Paine 00:00:18 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gyIIa8bUZbQ&t=00h00m18s "I can picture one ending to the Ukraine…