J.P.Morgan: Geopolitics vs. markets: How might the US, China and Iran reshape global risk? | 4 Aug 2026 | Making Sense
1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)
- Cognitive Dissonance in Global Markets: Extreme divergence between risk-on investor sentiment (propelled by AI capital expenditure) and persistent geopolitical fragmentation creating systemic tail risks [00:00:11].
- Weaponization & Loss of Strait of Hormuz: Iran's refusal to concede maritime leverage, treating control over Hormuz as a key revenue engine and strategic counterweight against US/Israeli escalation [00:02:18].
References
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