Craig Tindale: War, El Niño, Pestilence, and Famine: The Coming Shock to Global Food Supplies - Stacked Risk to Global Food Supplies | Apr 23, 2026 | Substack

Bottom Line

Tindale is careful not to be a pure doomer — he acknowledges adaptive capacity, precision agriculture acceleration, and the historical resilience of food systems. But his concluding assessment is stark: the coming polycrisis represents the worst food security risk many generations have faced since World War II, driven not by any single shock but by the near-perfect synchronisation of peak biological crop demand colliding with constrained chemical supply — an interaction that is multiplicative, not additive, and for which the timing could hardly be worse.