https://www.notboring.co/p/robot-steps

"There is a belief in my industry that the value in robotics will be unlocked in giant leaps."

"Meaning: robots are not useful today, but throw enough GPUs, models, data, and PhDs at the problem, and you’ll cross some threshold on the other side of which you will meet robots that can walk into any room and do whatever they’re told."

"In terms of both dollars and IQ points, this is the predominant view. I call it the Giant Leap view."

*"The Giant Leap view is sexy. It holds the promise of a totally unbounded market – **labor today is a ~$25 trillion market, *constrained by the cost and unreliability of humans; if robots become cheap, general, and autonomous, the argument goes that you get Jevons Paradox for labor- available to whichever team of geniuses in a garage produces the big breakthrough first. This is the type of innovation that Silicon Valley loves. Brilliant minds love opportunities where success is just a brilliant idea away."