• "I would strongly encourage people not to believe what they read in the mainstream media about how well Ukraine is doing in this war and how poorly Russia is doing." - John Mearsheimer [00:00:00]

• "The West is leading Ukraine down the primrose path and the Israelis are executing a genocide in Gaza." - John Mearsheimer…

• "everything pretty much in terms of how we understand the global system whether it be the security architecture the geopolitical architecture the geoeconomic architecture or the geofinancial architecture is coming apart at the seams" - Michael Every [00:00:00]

• "That's the western disease... It's all about the quick buck financialization and the…

• "With the Bessent strategy or the policy designed to strangle Iran economically is that they're throwing a Hail Mary pass... You're desperate and you just take your chances with a Hail Mary." - John Mearsheimer [00:04:04]

• "It is very important to never lose sight of the fact that we represent an existential threat to Iran... Given that we're…

• "The internal divisions in the United States... those internal divisions have been building for the last 5 years, they've been normalizing political violence in the United States." - Robert Pape [00:00:43]

• "I think the United States right now is the greatest threat to global peace because for the past 30 years Pax Americana has been dominant and now…

• "The more government has tried to create services for people and help bring them up the ladder, the more expensive those things get." - David Friedberg [00:00:09]

• "The key measure of a country's success is how many people are transitioning from labor to capital each year." - David Friedberg…

"If Scott Bessent is the only thing holding us back from certain doom, doom is upon us—you might want to start prepping." - Jacob Shapiro [00:00:52]

"The bond market is reacting to really bad vibes... bond investors just hate uncertainty." - Marko Papic [00:07:10]

"On Liberation Day, Howard…

"The point is anytime that you try to do social engineering at the end of a rifle barrel in countries around the world that you view as weak and easy to manipulate you're going to find out that you're delusional and that you are going to run into a buzzsaw and that buzzsaw is basically nationalism." - John Mearsheimer [00:00:22]

"Liberalism abroad leads to…

Quotes

• "The West is leading Ukraine down the primrose path... if you get into trouble and you dial 911, there's nobody at the other end." - John Mearsheimer [00:00:19]

• "You want to remember that when the United States first developed its nuclear arsenal after World War II, and especially in the 1950s, it employed a policy of massive…

• "in our book we identify nine billionaires plureaucrats if you will whose own statements indicate that Israel is the driving motivation for their engagement in American politics And these nine donors have given now over $1.7 billion in campaign contributions alone" - Eli Clifton [00:00:00]

• "When John and Steve wrote their book they were able to be…

Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

• Historical Predictor of Conflict: Tungsten acts as a century-old physical prediction market for global war due to its non-substitutable military applications, leading to distinct boom-bust capital cycles [00:05:54].
• Extreme Geostrategic Concentration: China dominates ~80% of global tungsten extraction…

• "Great powers are undone less by their rivals than by their own restlessness and hubris and that prudence rather than gratuitous use of force is the true mark of a durable empire." - Demetri Kofinas [00:01:05]

• "Both of those are based on shallow decontextualized readings of this vast and brilliant work... Graham Allison made a book about the…

Ep 1: Origins of the War In Ukraine

Quotes

"The Iranians are more aware than ever that they're in the driver's seat. They're more aware than ever that President Trump is in deep trouble and that he needs an agreement." - John Mearsheimer [00:00:00]

• "When you have an incident, it's like being in a car wreck at 5 m an hour versus 80 m hour, particularly when they happen in these key what we call choke points." - Sal Mercogliano [00:00:12]

• "Under UNCLOS, you should be able to do it. Now I will note that there's a couple of caveats... Iran is not a signatory to UNCLOS, and by the way, neither…

• "So the most successful companies, the ones right out the gate, are the ones that are taking business models that have been tried and true in the rest of the world and localizing them for Iran." - Jana Torbati [00:01:07]

• "In a normal society all citizens are equal and they benefit the same from the government... but in a mafia state you should imagine…

• "It is good for human beings to know to be aware of hubris—that just because a new technology arrives which gives you the seeming power of God, it doesn't mean that you can achieve what you set out to do." - George Yeo [00:09:07]

• "When the Chinese say that they have no wish to be a global hegemon, it is not a tactical statement; it is because they…

1. Executive Briefing (TL;DR)

• Historical Genesis of BeiDou (BDS): The 1993 Yinhe incident—where the US disabled GPS access to a Chinese container ship—served as the primary catalyst for China to dismantle the US GPS monopoly and develop its independent BeiDou Navigation Satellite System [00:01:00].
• **Technical & Global Superiority of…

• "Iran is stronger today than it was before the war started... because it controls the Strait of Hormuz, meaning that it can threaten at will virtually any ship." - Robert Pape [00:21:44]

• "We are like on the Titanic and we're about to hit the iceberg... and when the iceberg hits there's not enough lifeboats for everybody." - Robert Pape…