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GeopoliticsGlobal power, conflict, and policy intelligenceShowing 2 of 2
Global power, conflict, and policy — the stories reshaping the world order.
GeopoliticsShowing 2 of 2
Amish Shah, Head of India Research at BofA Securities, details his outlook for Indian markets in the coming year. **Short-Term Negative Triggers (H1)** - **Union Budget (Feb 1st):** This is viewed as a potential "market sell-off event" due to a lack of fiscal space for significant capex or consumption stimulus [[00:02:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hIA0VdrSkXA&t=124s)]. - **State Elections (May):** Five…
**Overview of the Economic Crossroads** The Indian economy is at a puzzling juncture as it approaches **Budget 2026**. Historically, low inflation was seen as universally positive, but the current record-low inflation is hurting government revenues and corporate top lines. This shift has brought a newfound focus on **Nominal GDP** and **Debt-to-GDP dynamics** over traditional real GDP and fiscal deficit metrics.…
Amish Shah, Head of India Research at BofA Securities, details his outlook for Indian markets in the coming year.
Short-Term Negative Triggers (H1)
Overview of the Economic Crossroads The Indian economy is at a puzzling juncture as it approaches Budget 2026. Historically, low inflation was seen as universally positive, but the current record-low inflation is hurting government revenues and corporate top lines. This shift has brought a newfound focus on Nominal GDP and Debt-to-GDP dynamics over traditional real GDP and fiscal deficit metrics.…