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Nuggets | Curated insights across markets, macros, AI, tech & geopolitics

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Kalshi
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Macro / EconomicsMarkets & InvestmentsMonetary PolicyPE/VCPrediction MarketsReport, Blogs & Insights

Kalshi Goes Macro | a16z

Link to the paper : Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets

"Fed researchers think prediction markets are pretty neat.

By one measure, at least, Kalshi is doing a better job of forecasting the Fed Funds Rate than professional forecasters:

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UJ
Feb 28, 2026